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A Bayesian approach to parameter estimation for kernel density estimation via transformations

机译:通过变换进行核密度估计的贝叶斯参数估计方法

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摘要

Published online: 18 April 2011. In this paper, we present a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation algorithm for estimating parameters in the kernel density estimation of bivariate insurance claim data via transformations. Our data set consists of two types of auto insurance claim costs and exhibits a high-level of skewness in the marginal empirical distributions. Therefore, the kernel density estimator based on original data does not perform well. However, the density of the original data can be estimated through estimating the density of the transformed data using kernels. It is well known that the performance of a kernel density estimator is mainly determined by the bandwidth, and only in a minor way by the kernel. In the current literature, there have been some developments in the area of estimating densities based on transformed data, where bandwidth selection usually depends on pre-determined transformation parameters. Moreover, in the bivariate situation, the transformation parameters were estimated for each dimension individually. We use a Bayesian sampling algorithm and present a Metropolis-Hastings sampling procedure to sample the bandwidth and transformation parameters from their posterior density. Our contribution is to estimate the bandwidths and transformation parameters simultaneously within a Metropolis-Hastings sampling procedure. Moreover, we demonstrate that the correlation between the two dimensions is better captured through the bivariate density estimator based on transformed data.
机译:在线发布:2011年4月18日。在本文中,我们提出了一种马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)模拟算法,用于通过变换估计双变量保险索赔数据的核密度估计中的参数。我们的数据集包括两种类型的汽车保险索赔成本,并且在边际经验分布中表现出较高的偏度。因此,基于原始数据的核密度估计器性能不佳。但是,可以通过使用内核估计转换后的数据的密度来估计原始数据的密度。众所周知,内核密度估计器的性能主要由带宽确定,而内核仅以次要的方式确定。在当前的文献中,在基于变换数据的密度估计领域中已有一些发展,其中带宽选择通常取决于预定的变换参数。此外,在双变量情况下,分别为每个维度估计转换参数。我们使用贝叶斯采样算法,并提出了Metropolis-Hastings采样程序,以从后验密度中采样带宽和变换参数。我们的贡献是在Metropolis-Hastings采样过程中同时估算带宽和转换参数。此外,我们证明了通过基于转换数据的双变量密度估计器可以更好地捕获两个维度之间的相关性。

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